chuka_lis: (Default)
chuka_lis ([personal profile] chuka_lis) wrote2025-04-03 12:32 am

Мы считали, мы считали..

Так трамп борется с глобализацией. Как в пословице "пошли дурака богу молится, так и лоб себе разобьет"
"Reciprocal Tariff Calculations. Для 90 стран. Начиная с 9 апреля. The reciprocal rates will become effective at 12:01 a.m. on April 9.
Laos 48%
Madagascar 47%
Vietnam 46%
Sri Lanka 44%
Myanmar (Burma) 44%
Bangladesh 37%
Serbia 37%
Botswana 37%
Thailand 36%
China 34%
Taiwan 32%
Indonesia 32%
Switzerland 31%
South Africa 30%
Pakistan 29%
Tunisia 28%
Kazakhstan 27%
India 26%
South Korea 25%
Japan 24%
Malaysia 24%
Cote d'Ivoire 21%
European Union 20%
Jordan 20%
Nicaragua 18%
Israel 17%
Philippines 17%
United Kingdom , Ukraine,  Brazil, Singapore,  Chile,  Australia, Turkey,  Colombia,  Peru, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, United Arab Emirates, New Zealand, Argentina, Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, El Salvador, Trinidad and Tobago, Morocco -10%
(10% baseline tax on imports from all countries and higher tariff rates on dozens of nations that run trade surpluses with the United States.)
Метод подсчета, квадратно-гнездовой (см выше), на практике:
Тhey didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers, as they say they did. Instead, for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us.
So we have a $17.9 billion trade deficit with Indonesia. Its exports to us are $28 billion. $17.9/$28 = 64%, which Trump claims is the tariff rate Indonesia charges us. What extraordinary nonsense this is...This tweet is correct, but it's actually worse than I thought: in calculating the tariff rate, Trump's people only used the trade deficit in goods. So even though we run a trade surplus in services with the world, those exports don't count as far as Trump is concerned.
Но, по словам трампа, реальные тарифы  все же не на 100% "реципрокные": И они "добрые" потому чо он то хотел еще выше.
Trump explained that his team calculated the “individualised” tariffs by taking half of what he claimed those countries charged the US for its exports.“ We will charge them approximately half of what they are — and have — been charging us. So the tariffs will be not full reciprocal,” Trump said. “I could have done that I guess, but it would’ve been tough for a lot of countries. We didn’t want to do that.”

A с 5 апреля, еще 10% доп тариф для всех стран. Потому что все вокруг, враги, обманывали, обьегоривали, хитрили и наживались на бедных и несчастных США!
“For decades, our country has been looted, pillaged, raped and plundered by nations near and far, both friend and foe alike,” Trump told an audience of manufacturing workers, cabinet members and journalists.“ Foreign leaders have stolen our jobs. Foreign cheaters have ransacked our factories. And foreign scavengers have torn apart our once-beautiful American dream.”But he proclaimed that Wednesday would mark a turning point in US history, marking an end to the “vicious attacks” he said the country had weathered.“ April 2, 2025, will forever be remembered as the day American industry was reborn, the day American’s destiny was reclaimed,” Trump said.Invoking the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977, Trump announced a 10-percent tariff on all countries, scheduled to take effect on April 5.
Для некоторых стран останутся punitive tariffs..Mexico and Canada, the US’s two largest trading partners and its immediate neighbours.Those countries, the White House explained, would remain under punitive tariffs, designed to bring them in line with Trump’s policies on border security.All goods not covered under the US-Mexico-Canada free-trade agreement would face a 25-percent tariff, with the exception of energy products (10%).

При всей этой простоте рассчета, вишенкой на торте, что для рф, Беларуси, Северной Кореи даже гипотетических тарифов- нет. 0%.
No tariffs were imposed on Russia and Belarus because, according to U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, no goods from those countries enter the American market.
На   сколько эти тарифы, сумасшедшие? The average U.S. tariff, weighted to reflect goods that are actually traded, is just 2.2% for the United States, versus the European Union’s 2.7%, China’s 3% and India’s 12%, according to the World Trade Organization. Previous U.S. administrations agreed to the tariffs that Trump now calls unjust. They were the result of a long negotiation between 1986 to 1994 — the so-called Uruguay Round — that ended in a trade pact signed by 123 countries and has formed the basis of the global trading system for nearly four decades.

 Что еще интересно? что "тарифные деньги" предполагается, будут покрывать дефицит по налогам после того как введут послабления ( котореы, преимущественно, для состоятельных).
Tariffs are taxes on imports, collected when foreign goods cross the U.S. border by the Customs and Border Protection agency. The money — about $80 billion last year — goes to the U.S. Treasury to help pay the federal government’s expenses. Congress has authority to say how the money will be spent.Trump — largely supported by Republican lawmakers who control the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives — wants to use increased tariff revenue to finance tax cuts that analysts say would disproportionately benefit the wealthy. Specifically, they want to extend tax cuts passed in Trump's first term and largely set to expire at the end of 2025. The Tax Foundation, a nonpartisan think tank in Washington, has found that extending Trump’s tax cuts would reduce federal revenue by $4.5 trillion from 2025 to 2034
Если растет налог на ввозимый товар, на столько же вырастает и его цена для потребителя, и сверху  еще дорастате и налог на покупку. Я думаю, взлет цен и инйляция никак не покроют "выгоду" от налогового послабления для большинства жителей США.
consumers could see overall prices rising within a month or two of tariffs being imposed. For some products, such as produce from Mexico, prices could rise much more quickly after the tariffs take effect.Some U.S. retailers and other importers may eat part of the cost of the tariff, and overseas exporters may reduce their prices to offset the extra duties. But for many businesses, the tariffs Trump announced Wednesday — such as 20% on imports from Europe — will be too large to swallow on their own.Companies may also use the tariffs as an excuse to raise prices. When Trump slapped duties on washing machines in 2018, studies later showed that retailers raised prices on both washers and dryers, even though there were no new duties on dryers. Economists worry that consumers, having just lived through the biggest inflationary spike in four decades, are more accustomed to rising prices than they were before the pandemic.
 Yet there are also signs that Americans, put off by the rise in the cost of living, are less willing to accept price increases and will simply cut back on their purchases.
Так что ударит и по бизнесам.
Якобы, Конгресс США должен тоже участвовать в том какие вводятся тарифы.
Сегодняшний Конгресс,  мы знаем, что из себя представляет. И  к тому же, кругом- враги. Так что рулит в США- трамп. Со всеми вытекающими.
The U.S. Constitution grants the power to set tariffs to Congress. But over the years, Congress has delegated those powers to the president through several different laws. Those laws specify the circumstances under which the White House can impose tariffs, which are typically limited to cases where imports threaten national security or are severely harming a specific industry.In the past, presidents generally imposed tariffs only after carrying out public hearings to determine if certain imports met those criteria.In his second term, however, Trump has sought to use emergency powers set out in a 1977 law to impose tariffs in a more ad hoc fashion. Trump has said, for example, that fentanyl flowing in from Canada and Mexico constitute a national emergency and has used that pretext to impose 25% duties on goods from both countries.Congress can seek to cancel an emergency that a president declares, and Sen. Tim Kaine, a Democrat from Virginia, has proposed to do just that regarding Canada. That legislation could pass the Senate but would likely die in the House. Other bills in Congress that would also limit the president's authority to set tariffs face tough odds for passage as well.
 

leff: (Default)

[personal profile] leff 2025-04-03 03:42 pm (UTC)(link)
Сошедший с ума мерзавец решил вполне уместным для себя и довольно странным для всех нормальных людей способом добиться финансового успеха во имя наступления золотого века Америки - объявил пошлины всем, даже пингвинам и тюленям населяющим безлюдные острова Херд и Макдональд в Индийском океане!
Фондовый рынок Америки в результате потерял 2 трлн. $!
Журнал "Эконэмист" вышел под шапкой "разорение".
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[personal profile] leff 2025-04-04 06:35 am (UTC)(link)

Лиза, это надо видеть с каким благоговейным любованием и безоговорочным одобрением обмусоливают кремлёвские пропагандоны в ихнем зомбоящике каждый шаг, каждое действие и каждую реплику сумасшедшего мерзавца!